EUR/USD: Dollar Weakness Lifts Euro Toward 1.16 as Traders Price Fed Cuts

Market momentum builds ahead of key Fed speakers.

Key Highlights

  • Euro climbs to multi-day highs as weak ADP data hits the U.S. Dollar.
  • Dollar Index slides to monthly lows near 99.30.
  • Traders price in December rate-cut potential.

Market Overview

The euro extended its rally above 1.1600 on Tuesday as the U.S. Dollar weakened broadly.
Soft ADP employment data showed private-sector job creation falling by more than 11,000 per week in late October, suggesting cracks in the labor market and reviving speculation of a Fed rate cut by year-end.
Optimism about a U.S. government funding deal further lifted sentiment, helping the euro mark its strongest advance since late October.
Attention now turns to speeches from Fed officials — including Williams and Waller — that could confirm or cool easing expectations.

Technical Outlook

  • Stochastic near overbought territory, hinting at short-term exhaustion.
  • Price remains above the 20-period MA, keeping the bullish bias intact.
  • Expect mild consolidation before another potential push higher.

Key Levels

ResistanceSupport
1.1633 / 1.16671.1529 / 1.1492

Fremora Analyst Takeaway

Momentum favors the euro above 1.1500, though intraday volatility could emerge if Fed officials strike a hawkish tone.
A corrective dip toward 1.1550 would offer renewed buying opportunities for trend followers.

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