XAU/USD: Gold Holds Near Two-Week High as Dovish Fed Bets Weigh on USD

Gold trades firmly near a two-week high as rising expectations of a December Fed rate cut push the US Dollar lower. Softer US PPI data and dovish Fed commentary continue to support the bullish tone, though broader risk appetite and hopes of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal may limit upside momentum.

Entry Zone: Buy dips toward $4,135 – $4,150
Stop Loss: Below $4,108
Targets: $4,208, then $4,248 if bullish continuation persists
Catalyst Watch: Fed rate-cut expectations, Russia-Ukraine peace rhetoric, global risk tone, US data flow


Trading Rationale

Gold regains its upward trajectory as markets lean more dovish on the Fed:

  • US PPI data signaled cooling inflation, reinforcing expectations of a December rate cut.
  • Several Fed officials supported further easing, dragging the USD to a one-week low.
  • Lower interest-rate expectations reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, keeping buyers active.
  • A generally positive global equity tone limits extreme safe-haven demand, but does not reverse the broader bullish structure.

Technically, XAU/USD has reclaimed the H4 moving average and is attempting to break through upper resistance zones. Any pullback into the mid-$4,100s is likely to attract renewed buying interest.


Key Technical Zones

Current Price: 4,159.89
Resistance Levels: 4,207.85 / 4,243.84
Support Levels: 4,108.89 / 4,074.71


DISCLAIMER

DISCLAIMER: Trading gold, forex, and CFDs involves significant risk. This analysis is educational only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly.

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